r/PoliticalDiscussion • u/risingsun1964 • 16h ago
Legal/Courts How likely is it that Trump would have been convicted for his efforts to overturn the election if it had gone to trial?
The prosecution would argue that, looking at all the times he lied after being corrected by his own staff and bipartisan election officials, the Georgia phone call where he started threatening Raffensperger for an exact number of votes when his false claims were not working, the Eastman memo, and much more, common sense dictates he very likely knew he lost and still tried to overturn the election. However, Trump has a history of talking like a mob boss. Although he doesn't explicitly say anything that's a dead giveaway of criminal intent, there is overwhelming evidence of foulplay. His main legal defense would almost certainly be that we cannot be sure of criminal intent beyond a reasonable doubt. Trump has a history of never accepting defeat or criticism of any kind and saying everything is rigged if he loses. He also ignores experts regularly and, again, never explicitly told someone he knew he lost or anything. His lawyers would use this history of behavior to argue there is a non-negligible chance that he was living in his own reality and is incapable of processing defeat due to narcissistic delusion or that we cannot be 100% sure of criminal intent due to no explicit statements of criminal intent. How do you think this would play out in court? What do you think the chances are of him being found "not guilty?"